Author: Moonke Dev (Twitter: @moonkedev)
1/5 As a degen at @pumpdotfun, what are the chances of losing money? We analyzed 75,991 tokens created on @pumpdotfun from June 10 to June 16. Let’s dive in.
2/5 How many pumpfun tokens will successfully launch on Raydium? Out of the 75,991 tokens created between June 10 and June 16, only 1.42% went live on Raydium. 85.85% of new tokens were created by independent wallets, while 14.15% were created by duplicate wallets.
3/5 How long does it take for a token to launch on Raydium? Among all tokens deployed from pumpfun to Raydium:
– The 50th percentile token: took 15 minutes to launch on Raydium
– The 75th percentile token: took 59 minutes to launch on Raydium
– The 90th percentile token: took 4.9 hours to launch on Raydium
If your token is not deployed on Raydium within 5 hours, you may miss the opportunity forever.
4/5 What are the chances of your investment going to zero? In our search of 75,991 tokens, 97.43% had liquidity less than 1 SOL, and 98.41% had liquidity less than 10 SOL. If your token is not deployed on Raydium, the likelihood of your investment becoming zero exceeds 99%.
5/5 Lessons for degens:
1. Only about 1.4% of tokens ultimately deploy on Raydium
2. If a token is not deployed on Raydium within 1 hour, consider Jeet (exit early). Otherwise, the likelihood of your investment going to zero is over 99%.
3. Follow @moonkebiz and @moonkedev for alpha information related to memecoins.
Original article link: [link]
